USD/JPY faces pivotal week as BoJ rate hike, inflation data, and Trump’s policies loom. Key levels at 150 and 160 in focus amid market volatility.

The Japanese Yen gains positive traction for the second straight day amid bets for a Bank of Japan rate hike. This has led to a risk-on mood that supports the JPY while helping USD/JPY to rebound from a multi-week low.

The U.S. dollar weakened against the yen on Thursday, as softer-than-expected U.S. economic data and growing confidence for a Bank of Japan interest-rate hike sent it tumbling to a near one-month low against the Japanese currency.

The USD/JPY climbed on Friday as the Japanese yen weakened, with markets focused on the upcoming BoJ rate decision. The BoJs next rate hike is now anticipated at the January Monetary Policy Meeting, moving up from

Looking back, yen-funded carry trades have turned out to be among the most profitable plays this year. Of 20 major emerging markets currencies, all generated positive total returns, led by the Turkish lira’s 19% and Mexican peso’s 14%.

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Persistent USD strength against JPY seen in Q4 '24 is easing. Hawkish speeches from BoJ officials coupled with a softer US core CPI print put an interim ceiling on USD strength against JPY.

The Japanese yen was at its strongest versus the dollar in nine days after Japan's government bond yields hit another cycle high. The 10-year JGB yield was up 1.5 basis points early Wednesday, trading at 1.

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BoJ and RBA decisions dominate 2025’s early trends. Wage growth, inflation, and China’s stimulus measures drive Forex markets. Read key insights here.

Our weekly simulation for Japanese Government Bond Yields and the Yen. Read the latest update, as of January 10, 2025.

Recent remarks from BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda and his deputy Ryozo Himino have made clear that a hike will at least be discussed at next week's policy meeting. Markets see about a 79% chance of a 25-basis-point increase.