You can count on films like “Emilia Pérez” and big stars like Timothée Chalamet and Ariana Grande, but this year may hold some surprises, too.

Another musical, the Spanish-language French Oscar entry “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix), is poised to dominate the delayed Oscar nominations announcement on January 23 with 12 nods, by my estimation, followed by papal thriller “Conclave” (Focus Features) with 10,

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY “Anora,” Sean Baker “The Brutalist,” Brady Corbet and Mona Fastvold “Hard Truths,” Mike Leigh “A Real Pain,” Jesse Eisenberg “The Substance,” Coralie Fargeat

At least six movies are nearly locks for best picture, per a mathematical formula that factors in awards season data and historical trends.

Partially that’s because it’s been a year seemingly devoid of frontrunners, but also because the wildfires have drastically changed how Oscar season operates. Normally there are an insane number of campaign events during the Oscar voting period,

Nominees will include "Emilia Perez," "Conclave," "The Brutalist" ... and "Waltzing With Brando?" The post 2025 Oscar Nomination Predictions: What Will the Distracted Voters Do? appeared first on TheWrap.